When the world changes, what does your company do?

Simulate hundredsscenarios on your company

Simdots simulates a shock on your business, a tariff, a war, a closed strait, and returns the next moves: prices, banks, stock, suppliers and purchasing. Thousands of simulations, in about two seconds.

Tariffs, sanctions and shipping disruptions can change a company's costs within days. Most small manufacturers have no model of their supply chain, so they decide from experience.

Tannery

“By nose.”

No data, and no view beyond its direct suppliers.

Optics

“By feel.”

The data exists, but nobody has time to analyse it.

Construction

“Ask a consultant.”

It pays a consultant and waits weeks for an answer.

Gross margin index · 52 weeksRuns 0
Median impact0.0%
Worst 5%0.0%
Best option—
01

Map your company.

Add suppliers, plants, transport routes and costs, or import them from a CSV. A template gets you started in about ten minutes, and more detail gives more accurate results.

  • Suppliers
  • Plants
  • Routes
  • Costs
02

Choose a scenario.

For example a new tariff, a sanctions list, a closed strait or a rise in energy prices. Pick one from the news feed or define your own.

  • Tariffs
  • Sanctions
  • Chokepoints
  • Energy
  • FX
03

See the impact.

Simdots runs thousands of Monte Carlo simulations using OECD input-output tables, trade data and shipping routes. You get the most likely impact on margin and the worst cases.

  • OECD ICIO
  • IMF PortWatch
  • FRED
  • World Bank
04

Compare the options.

Each option, such as raising a price or changing supplier, is simulated against the same scenario and sorted by how much margin it saves.

  • Prices
  • Stock
  • Suppliers
  • Purchasing

What you can do about it.

Simdots tests four kinds of decision against the same scenario and sorts them by the margin they protect.

  1. 01 / Prices

    Change prices

    Which prices to raise, and by how much.

  2. 02 / Stock

    Adjust stock

    How much to hold, and for how long.

  3. 03 / Suppliers

    Change supplier

    Alternative suppliers and their total cost, including duties and lead times.

  4. 04 / Purchasing

    Fix input prices

    Whether to agree prices on raw materials now or wait.

0.0pts

Average difference between our estimate and the actual outcome in three past events: the Strait of Hormuz, Ukraine and Crimea.

Ukraine, 2022Avg. sector price impact
Estimate +5.5%
Actual +7.2%
▭ Monte Carlo range +1.4% → +10.0%Gap −1.7 pts

Internal backtests

Your supplier data never leaves your computer.

All calculations run in your browser using WebAssembly. Nothing you enter is uploaded, and there is nothing to install.

0ICIO sectors modelled
0countries & regions
0historical shock scenarios
0bytes sent to a server

How Simdots compares.

Enterprise risk platforms usually take months to set up. Trade-data providers sell data rather than analysis, and consultants charge per project. Simdots is self-service.

SimdotsEnterprise SCRMResilinc · Everstream · InterosTrade dataKpler · Panjiva · SayariConsultingBig 4 · boutiques
Live in minutes, self-serveYesMonthsYesWeeks
Impact of a shock on marginsYesPartialNoBespoke
Costs, duties and delays per routeYesPartialPartialBespoke
Sanctions screeningYesYesPartialYes
Supplier data never leaves the deviceYesNoNoNo
PriceFrom freeEnterprise contractData subscriptionPer project

Indicative, based on public product information

Plans and pricing.

Simulations run on your computer, so our running costs are low and so are our prices.

CoreFree

Map your company and see where it is exposed.

  • Chain builder and map
  • Network, cost and tariff views
  • Free data pages
Open the app
Pro€1,800 / year

Unlimited simulations and recommendations.

  • Monte Carlo simulations
  • Ranked options
  • Scenarios from the news
  • PDF reports
Get Pro
Enterprise & consultantsCustom

For consultants and larger companies that manage several businesses.

  • Multiple businesses
  • White-label reports
  • Onboarding with our economist
Talk to us

FAQ

Is Simdots free to use?

Yes. Open the app and start mapping a chain, no signup, no seat licence, no card required.

Does my supply chain data leave my browser?

No. The full trade model, routing, input-output shock modelling, compliance screening, compiles to WebAssembly and runs entirely client-side. Nothing you map is sent to a server.

What data sources does Simdots use?

OECD input-output tables, World Bank tariff and governance data, IMF PortWatch vessel-traffic data, FRED commodity and energy prices, OFAC/EU/UN/UFLPA sanctions lists, GDACS disaster alerts, SEC EDGAR filings and GLEIF entity data, among other public sources.

Do I need to install anything?

No. Simdots runs in any modern browser that supports WebAssembly and JavaScript, there is nothing to install.

Can I use the free data pages without opening the app?

Yes. Simdots publishes standalone, sourced data pages, free to read and free to cite under CC BY 4.0, with no account needed.

The next shock
is already coming.

The app is free to start and does not require an account.

Simdots